Manuscripts

Research manuscripts

Current research manuscripts, each linked to a summary of its question, evidence, and limits.

2026 · R.01
Sequential decision-making

Premature Epistemic Action: Timing Information Acquisition with Endogenous Consequences

Research manuscript · 2026. Paper-scoped artifact and supplement prepared.

Summary →
2026 · R.02
Market microstructure

When Information Acquisition Moves the Market: Endogenous Value of Information in RFQ Execution

Research manuscript · 2026. Exact finite-state experiments and fresh holdout.

Summary →
2026 · R.03
Private credit

When Model Error Moves the Boundary: Stress Testing Private-Credit Decision Systems

Research manuscript · 2026. Prospective frozen holdout and separate balanced robustness study.

Summary →
Preprint links will be added here when available.